IDC believes multicore processing may be one of the most significant industry developments of the past 40 years. As an innovation that threatens to disrupt the delicate IT ecosystem, according to an IDC press release, multicore processing's expected impact on IT infrastructure is accelerating with each generation of its technology, resulting in a significant market shift in the 2009–2010 time frame.
"Multicore processing will provide the flexibility, agility and efficiency of future dynamic IT environments," says Matt Eastwood, vice president of IDC's Server research. "Users expect significant price/performance improvements from these systems and anticipate that multicore will further accelerate the adoption of server virtualization technologies. Technology suppliers that prepare for this transition appropriately will be rewarded with increased revenue opportunities over the next few years."
Eastwood's remarks reflect a recent IDC study entitled "Multicore Processing Scenarios, 2005-2009: Disrupting the IT Market in Three Generations?" that explored the probable impact and processing abilities this technology will bring to the broad IT ecosystem as new generations of server technology are released.
Key findings from this study include:
- 2005 will be a watershed year for multicore processing, now offering widespread choice for the IT industry
- IBM, HP and Sun have been shipping dual-core RISC processors for some time; also look for AMD, Azul Systems and Intel to have impact as they are laying important groundwork for the rest of the industry
- The blades market will serve as a launching pad for multicore processing
- Software licensing will not be an issue for the early adopters because the software vendors have largely confirmed ongoing licensing policies
- Multicore processing will have a significant impact on IT infrastructures in its third generation, 2009-2010
The IDC report advised established players in microprocessors, operating platforms, systems management, security, application development tools, network management and services delivery to accept, if not embrace, this market shift. Trends indicate that the industry will need to adjust in order to meet the challenges presented by emerging competitors, and to address the increasing needs of customers, who continually demand more from their IT environments.
"Multicore processing has the capability to disrupt the IT infrastructure as we currently know and manage it," noted the IDC report. "By 2009, the third iteration of the technology will allow many new products to be created and challenge conventional IT infrastructure build-out."
[...read more...]